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Doheny releases poll results on Woolf matchup, remains silent on Stefanik numbers

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Results of a poll released today by the Doheny for Congress campaign show Matthew A. Doheny with a double-digit lead over Democratic candidate Aaron G. Woolf.

The Public Opinion Strategies poll of 400 likely voters in the November general election favor Mr. Doheny, Watertown, 43 percent to 21 percent.

Mr. Woolf, Elizabethtown, will be on the Democratic line in the election. Mr. Doheny, on the other hand, faces a difficult primary race against Elise M. Stefanik, Willsboro. The winner of that June 24 election will gain the Republican line. Ms. Stefanik will also be on the Conservative Party ballot.

Mr. Doheny’s campaign manager, David Catalfamo, said the poll results show that the candidate will run “very well” in November.

“The poll confirmed what we already knew — putting Matt head-to-head with Woolf will send a Republican to Congress,” Mr. Catalfamo said. “We expected we would lead, but we’re gratified by the numbers. Matt will run very, very well in November.”

The Woolf campaign dismissed the poll results.

“Aaron isn’t focused on polls, he is focused on going around the district talking with voters at events out in the community about ways we can work together to boost the region’s economy and help our locals businesses grow and create new jobs,” Woolf campaign manager Stuart Rosenberg said in an email messasge.

Mr. Catalfamo would not comment when asked how Mr. Doheny polls against Ms. Stefanik.

Instead, he said the candidate is looking forward to the first debate between the two, set Tuesday on Time Warner Cable’s News10 Now.

“We’re looking forward to the debate next week,” Mr. Catalfamo said. “We have a different world view than our opponent, and we expect the debate will crystallize that for voters.”

The Stefanik campaign suggested this release shows cracks in the Doheny effort.

“Matt Doheny’s premature victory lap and champagne cork popping may make him feel good but it does nothing to put this seat back in the Republican and Conservative column in November. What is most telling is his failure to release numbers showing his support is slipping by the day in the Republican primary,” said Charlotte Guyett, campaign press secretary, in an email message. “We are focused on winning the primary, and while we aren’t in the business of giving our opponent strategic advice, releasing poll numbers that show you have even less support than in 2010 and 2012 is an odd strategy. If I were Matt Doheny, I wouldn’t be counting any chickens before they hatch.”

According to Public Opinion Strategies, Mr. Doheny’s lead over Mr.Woolf “is strongest with Matt’s Republican base (64 to 5percent) and independent and unaffiliated voters (37 to 17 percent). In addition, Matt leads among both men (47 to 21 percent) and women (40 to20%) in the district.”

The margin of error in the poll is +/- 4.9 percent.

— PLW

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